Poll: Six Democrats lead Trump in Florida match-ups
September 6, 2020
Six Democratic presidential hopefuls have more support than President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.
Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE carried the biggest lead over Trump, taking 50 percent support in the state to Trump’s 41 percent. Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) also beats Trump in a hypothetical matchup, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) carries a 4-point lead over Trump in Florida, while Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.), former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE each lead the president by 1 point.
The poll results were released hours before Trump is expected to formally launch his 2020 reelection campaign with a rally in Orlando, Fla.
The findings suggest that the president may face a tougher time than expected as he looks to shore up support in the Sunshine State. He won Florida in 2016 by roughly 1 point, and his campaign is expected to invest heavily there in 2020.
Trump owns several properties in Florida, including Mar-a-Lago, a lavish private club in West Palm Beach that the president has traveled to frequently since entering the White House.
According to the Quinnipiac survey, most Florida voters — 54 percent — say they are better off financially today than they were in 2016, while only 23 percent say they are worse off.
But despite that, Trump’s approval in Florida is underwater. Forty-four percent said they approve of the job he’s doing, while more than half of respondents — 51 percent — disapprove.
The poll numbers are welcome news for Democrats after a midterm election cycle in which two of the party’s highest-profile candidates in Florida — former Sen. Bill NelsonClarence (Bill) William NelsonNASA, SpaceX and the private-public partnership that caused the flight of the Crew Dragon Lobbying world The most expensive congressional races of the last decade MORE (D) and gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum — lost their respective bids to Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) and Gov. Ron DeSantisRonald Dion DeSantisGOP tentatively decides on Jacksonville for site of convention DeSantis pushing to host Republican National Convention in Florida Florida bars and theaters to reopen starting Friday, DeSantis says MORE (R), two staunch Trump allies.
“Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end,” Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said.
Florida Democratic voters won’t head to the polls to choose their presidential nominee until March 17, and the state has not yet become a regular campaign stop for the slate of Democratic hopefuls.
But Democratic groups and activists are gearing up for a massive electoral push in the state leading up to the 2020 election.
Two liberal super PACs, Priorities USA and American Bridge 21st Century, are preparing to drop hundreds of millions of dollars in four battleground states, including Florida. Meanwhile, Gillum and the Florida Democratic Party are prepping a major voter registration push in a bid to increase turnout in 2020.
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,279 Florida voters from June 12 to June 17. The survey has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.